Yuav ua li cas ib UK Uncoupling los ntawm teb chaws Europe yuav txhais tau rau Ireland
Brexit thiab tsis xaus rau qhov pom ... tom qab qhov kev xaiv tsa yeej rau Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron, uas rov qab mus rau 10 Downing Street tsis muaj tus neeg ploj tuag tsev neeg Nick Clegg, qhov referendum ntawm British tawm ntawm cov European Union (lub Brexit, luv luv ), twb yog looming, ces teem rau Lub Rau Hli 23rd. Lub Rau Hli 24th qhov kev tshwm sim uas tau tshaj tawm tau tshaj tawm - 51.89% ntawm cov neeg txhawj xeeb pov npav ...
tau xaiv tsa tawm European Union. Qhov uas coj mus rau Cameron ceev ceev raws li ib tug nom tswv lub cev, thiab (tom qab tib yam kev theatrical backstabbing) xaiv tsa ntawm Theresa May raws li Conservative Party Leader thiab Prime Minister. Tej zaum nws yuav tshaj tawm hais tias nws yuav thov tau Tshooj 50 ntawm Treaty ntawm European Union, qhov kev cai lij choj cuab kev rub tawm lub teb chaws tawm ntawm EU. Nrog rau tus cwj pwm ntawm "peb yuav muaj peb lub ncuav mog qab zib, thiab noj nws" - xav tau cov cai tshwj xeeb rau lub UK. Lo lus kawg rau txhua qhov no tseem tsis tau hais ...
Li ntawd, nyob deb, yog li xub pwg-shrug. Vim li cas qhov no thiaj tseem ceeb rau tebchaws Ireland?
Qhov tseem ceeb vim qhov no, tig mus, yuav hloov tag nrho lub tswv yim ntawm kev sib tsoo tawm hauv tebchaws Ireland.
Specter ntawm Brexit
Ua ntej peb tau muaj "Kev Nyuaj Siab" raws li European Union boogieman, cov peev xwm tawm ntawm (los yog tso tawm) ntawm Greece ntawm Eurozone thiab / los yog EU. Tom qab ntawd tus specter ntawm "Brexit" pib ntog, txawm ntau ua.
Tsis vim nws xav xav kom tshem tau ntawm lub tebchaws United Kingdom, tab sis vim Eurosceptics pib tau ntau thiab ntau hauv av. Thiab tsis yog nrog ntau qhov pom ntawm UKIP, tab sis kuj tsis pub dhau ntau qhov chaw koom siab.
Yog li ntawd, lub ntsiab lus tseem ceeb, qhov tseeb, PM Cameron, tom qab cia li tseem yeem hais txog kev ywj pheej ntawm Scottish nrog lub tebchaws United Kingdom (tab sis qhov kev lag luam ntawm Scottish National Party SNP zoo li ua xim rau me ntsis duab), nws tau ua nws tus kheej kom tuav lub referendum ntawm seb lub European Union yuav tsum tau muab cov khoom rhuav tshem.
Los ntawm teb chaws Aas Kiv (los yog the UK), tab sis "Ukexit" tsis suab zoo li ntawd zoo) tawm hauv nws. Qhov no tsis tuaj yeem nrog cov xav tau ntawm tag nrho cov chaw hauv UK - Scotland thiab Northern Ireland tau pov ntawv tawm suab kom nyob twj ywm hauv EU.
Thiab txawm hais tias txhua txhua lub siab khuav ntawm txoj kev thaij duab ntawm European Union yeej yog "Fourth Reich" nyob rau hauv Angela Merkel txoj kev tswj hlau, txhua lub xeev yog pub dawb rau nws txoj kev koom nrog. Lossis tuaj yeem ua tau, tshwj xeeb, yuav tsum tau tawm mus tsev sai.
Brexit - Tsis Ireland?
Lub Koom Haum ntawm Ireland thiab United Kingdom tau thov ua tswv cuab rau EU ua tswv cuab nyob rau hauv xyoo 1960 thiab thaum kawg tau koom ua ke hauv xyoo 1973, nqa tag nrho Ireland tuaj rau hauv union - thiab txij li ntawd txij li ntawd los kuj pom tau tias yog ib qho kev xav hauv lub hlwb ntawm ob tug "pob" hais txog. Qhov no, li cas los xij, tsis yog cov ntaub ntawv. Ob lub tebchaws ntawm Ireland thiab lub tebchaws no yog ywj siab, cov xeev muaj peev xwm, thiab tsis muaj ib txoj cai uas khi ib qho rau lwm qhov hauv EU cov cai.
Piv txwv ... lub Euro. Lub Koom Haum ntawm Ireland yog nrad thawj cov tswv cuab ntawm lub Eurozone , thaum lub tebchaws United Kingdom muab khaws cia Pound Sterling raws li ib qho kev ywj pheej. Yog li, obviously, nyias muaj nyias txoj kev ua tau.
Tab sis lawv yog cov ntshaw?
Vim hais tias, thaum nws los txog rau qhov tseeb, Ireland yuav koom nyob rau hauv lub Brexit ...
tsawg kawg yog rau lub nroog rau Northern Ireland, ib feem ntawm lub tebchaws United Kingdom. Dua li ntawm tag nrho cov kev npaj coj txawv txawv rau ib qho kev cais Northern Irish referendum raws li npaj tau los ntawm Sinn Fein.
Ireland Tom qab lub pob qij txha
Piv txwv tias lub UK votes rau ib Brexit, qhov no yuav tsis tau tam sim ntawd thiab siv sij hawm - tab sis yuav muaj qhov yuav tuaj tom qab lub pike. Rau ib qho, Cov Koom Haum ntawm Ireland yuav dheev muaj ntsej muag qhov tseeb tias tus ciam teb rau Northern Ireland kuj yuav yog ib qho "npoo sab nraud" ntawm EU, yuav tsum tswj ntau dua, kev ruaj ntseg, thiab cov ntaub ntawv dua tam sim no (piv txwv li tsis muaj). Thiab thaum hla kev ciam teb dhau los tau ua kom zoo li ib lub qhov rooj zaum hauv ib lub rooj zaum dhau xyoo dhau los, qhov no yuav tau hloov.
Thiab ... kev yuav khoom ntawm lwm qhov kev txiav txim yuav raug rau cov kev cai tshiab, thiab tariffs, zoo li - tsis muaj dua stocking nrog pheej yig cawv "nce North", tshwj tsis yog tias koj tau npaj rau ntau qhov chaw hla kev.
Hais txog ntau qhov chaw hla ciam - kev tsheb ciav hlau hauv cheeb tsam muaj ciam teb yuav, ntau dua li qhov, ua ib tug npau suav phem. Nrog rau txoj kev hla thiab rov nrhiav tus ciam teb, tsis muaj leej twg yuav xav fim txhua lub sijhawm tsib feeb. Thiab raws li cov nyiaj rau cov kev tshiab tsis sib xws, qhov rov qab ua txoj kev rov qab yuav yog cov tsheb loj loj.
Raws li txoj kev khwv nyiaj txiag tag nrho - tom qab Brexit, cov tuam txhab thoob ntiaj teb yuav tau txiav txim siab seb yuav nrhiav kev kho dua li cas, Northern Ireland yuav tsis ntxiv rau cov rooj vag hnyav rau Europe (raws li hauv EU), thiab Lub Koom Haum Tebchaws Ireland tsis muaj se -phooj ywg rooj vag mus rau lub UK lag luam yog.
Lub Brexit thiab Cov Neeg Tuaj Mus Ncig
Tam sim no ntawm no yog qhov kev sib tsoo ... yuav muaj peev xwm Brexit muaj lub caij nplooj zeeg loj loj rau cov tuaj ncig tebchaws uasi mus xyuas Ireland? Kuv txhais tau tias, sib nrug los ntawm qhov cuab kev ib, qhov rov qab qhia txog ntawm cov tswj ntawm sab hauv-Irish ciam teb?
Hauv kuv lub tswv yim, qhov yuav tshwm rau cov neeg tuaj txawv teb chaws tuaj yeem yuav xoom, yog tias koj tsis pom kev nkag teb chaws thiab cov kev cai tswjfwm, thiab kev npaj ntawm kev tsav tsheb mus los ntawm, hais, Belfast rau Dublin. Tau, koj yuav tau siv ob peb qhov kev lag luam. Tab sis qhov no yuav muaj feem me me ntawm daim duab loj uas koj tsis tas yuav nyuab siab txog nws.
Raws li tag nrho lwm yam tseem ceeb, cov no yuav tsis hloov. Tom qab ib qho peev xwm Brexit, cov neeg taug kev mus rau thiab nyob rau hauv Ireland yuav tsum xav paub txog qhov ntawd
- visas rau ib thaj chaw tsis yog cia li siv tau nyob rau lwm qhov,
- muaj ob qho txiaj ntsig siv, Euro thiab Pound Sterling,
- kev txwv cov kev txwv thiab kev ncua yuav tseem nyob hauv mais hauv UK, hauv kauj ruam hauv lub tebchaws Ireland.
Peb tau nyob nrog cov no rau cov muaj hnub nyoog, yog li ntawd ib Brexit yuav tsis ua txhua yam li ntawd.